METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2014
Women's Strawweight
VS
68%
Penne
32%
Markos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jessica
Jessica Penne
14 – 9
5'5"67" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
RM
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
11 – 12
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Jessica PennewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Randa Markos · The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penne
→
Actual result
Penne wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Penne holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Markos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Markos has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PenneMarkos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penne
Markos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
63"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Markos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
16.7
34.1
Performance Avg
34.0
35
Quality of Victory
29
63
Momentum Score
15
Penne
Markos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
2.2
6.0
Style: Volume
7.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
4
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance18
3Clinch1
2Ground0
Penne
Markos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penne
Markos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Penne
Markos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Penne
Markos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Penne
Markos
Striking0.7 / 0.8Volume6.0 / 7.7Grappling4.3 / 3.2Wrestling3.0 / 2.2Submission3.3 / 1.4Pressure3.3 / 2.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Penne
Strike Zones
Markos
Penne
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Markos
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (57% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Markos targets the head (74% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Penne
RND
Markos
0/0R00/0

Penne · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elise Reed
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha Ricci
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily Ducote
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy Godinez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04

Markos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Livinha Souza
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · R1
Luana Pinheiro
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako Murata
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie Dern
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda Ribas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

News & Media

Jessica Penne · Randa Markos
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