METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2014
Women's Strawweight
VS
68%
Penne
32%
Markos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jessica PennewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Randa Markos · The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penne
→
Actual result
Penne wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Penne holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Markos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Markos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Markos has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenneMarkos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penne
Markos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
63"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Markos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
16.7
34.1
Performance Avg
34.0
35
Quality of Victory
29
63
Momentum Score
15
Penne
Markos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.1
32%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
4
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance18
3Clinch1
2Ground0
Penne
Markos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penne
Markos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Penne
Markos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Penne
Markos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penne
Markos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
PenneMarkos
Strike Zones
Penne
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMarkos
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (57% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Markos targets the head (74% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penne
RND
Markos
0/0R00/0
Penne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · R1
Luana PinheiroRating 4UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03