METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
51%
Santos
49%
Lee
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:26
★ Official Result
Leonardo SantoswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:26
def. Kevin Lee · UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 51% vs Lee at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
+77"
46
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
35.2
57.5
Performance Avg
48.3
49
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
53
Santos
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
5.6
4.8
Style: Volume
4.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
6
Body
5
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance10
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Santos
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Santos
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Santos
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
SantosLee
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedLee
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (50% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaSubmission
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L · KO · R3
Grant DawsonKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Roman BogatovDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Stevie RayKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05