METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Middleweight
VS
35%
Hawes
65%
Curtis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:27
★ Official Result
Chris CurtiswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:27
def. Phil Hawes · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Curtis
→
Actual result
Curtis wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Curtis holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Hawes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Hawes's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HawesCurtis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hawes
Curtis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
75"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hawes
Curtis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.9
49.5
44.8
Performance Avg
46.3
41
Quality of Victory
41
13
Momentum Score
54
Hawes
Curtis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.0
Style: Volume
5.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
15
15
Body
5
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
46Distance18
2Clinch2
0Ground1
Hawes
Curtis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hawes
Curtis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
70
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/45 fights
Hawes
Curtis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Hawes
Curtis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hawes
Curtis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
HawesCurtis
Strike Zones
Hawes
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedCurtis
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hawes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Curtis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Curtis targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hawes absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hawes
RND
Curtis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hawes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · KO · R2
Deron WinnKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Chris CurtisKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Curtis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Brendan AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01