METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Newark, USA
30 Jan 2016
Flyweight
VS
52%
Ortiz
48%
Reis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Wilson ReiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dustin Ortiz · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortiz
→
Actual result
Reis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 52% vs Reis at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OrtizReis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ortiz
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
65"
Reach
65"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ortiz
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
15.5
46.9
Performance Avg
41.5
40
Quality of Victory
33
45
Momentum Score
65
Ortiz
Reis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
3.6
5.1
Style: Volume
6.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
4Clinch2
1Ground10
Ortiz
Reis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Ortiz
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
65
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Ortiz
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Reis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
OrtizReis
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedReis
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (80% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (82% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaDecision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04