METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Calgary, Canada
21 Jul 2012
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Caraway
47%
Gagnon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:39
★ Official Result
Bryan CarawaywinsSubmissionR3 · 1:39
def. Mitch Gagnon · UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caraway
→
Actual result
Caraway wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Caraway at 53% vs Gagnon at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarawayGagnon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Caraway
Gagnon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
65"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Caraway
Gagnon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.0
17.4
47.9
Performance Avg
48.0
40
Quality of Victory
47
82
Momentum Score
38
Caraway
Gagnon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.8
3.9
Style: Volume
3.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Caraway
Gagnon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.6
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
7.5
4
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Caraway
Gagnon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
72
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/30 fights
Chin rating based on
8/17 fights
Caraway
Gagnon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
38
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Caraway
Gagnon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caraway
Gagnon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
CarawayGagnon
Strike Zones
Caraway
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGagnon
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gagnon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Caraway absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caraway
RND
Gagnon
0/0R00/0
Caraway · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
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