UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Featherweight
VS
13%
Arnett
87%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:48
AA
Austin Arnett
16 – 6
6'0"72" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 10
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandhagen

Sandhagen is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sandhagen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Arnett has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Arnett
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
72"+
Reach
70"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Arnett
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
64.2
25.0
Performance Avg
53.8
25
Quality of Victory
44
28
Momentum Score
100
Arnett
Sandhagen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
21
0
Body
7
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance15
0Clinch12
0Ground5
Arnett
Sandhagen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arnett
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Arnett
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Arnett
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arnett
Sandhagen
Striking0.5 / 5.9Volume8.5 / 4.3Grappling2.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure0.8 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Arnett
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Arnett
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD7BODY4LEGS32 absorbed
Sandhagen
Attacking
21HEAD7BODY4LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arnett targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (66% of attacks) — Arnett absorbs 66% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arnett
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Arnett · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.2L5.6L4.5W5.5L2018-012018-072018-112019-02
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Arnett · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Humberto BandenayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

News & Media

Austin Arnett · Cory Sandhagen
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