The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jun 2012
Lightweight
VS
38%
Marcello
62%
Sicilia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:53
CM
Cristiano Marcello
13 – 6
5'9"72" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
SS
Sam Sicilia
15 – 8
Striker3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sicilia

Sicilia holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Marcello has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Sicilia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Marcello throws more volume but Sicilia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sicilia has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marcello
Sicilia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
67"
48
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marcello
Sicilia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
16.0
25.0
Performance Avg
43.7
25
Quality of Victory
45
28
Momentum Score
59
Marcello
Sicilia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
23
3
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance17
0Clinch1
0Ground8
Marcello
Sicilia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marcello
Sicilia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
16
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Marcello
Sicilia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Marcello
Sicilia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marcello
Sicilia
Striking0.5 / 6.8Volume8.5 / 4.0Grappling2.4 / 1.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Marcello
Strike Zones
Sicilia
Marcello
Attacking
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD3BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Sicilia
Attacking
23HEAD3BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marcello targets the head (89% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Sicilia targets the head (88% of attacks) — Marcello absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marcello
RND
Sicilia
0/0R00/0

Marcello · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L2012-062012-102013-032014-02
WinLossTrend

Sicilia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L5.0W4.5W3.3L2.9L5.5L2012-062013-112014-092015-112017-02
WinLossTrend

Marcello · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Joe ProctorRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Kazuki TokudomeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06

Sicilia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Cristiano Marcello · Sam Sicilia
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