UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
60%
Bahamondes
40%
Musayev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bahamondes
Bahamondes holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Musayev has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahamondes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Bahamondes throws more volume but Musayev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Bahamondes
Musayev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
28+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bahamondes
Musayev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.3
39.7
53.4
Performance Avg
35.0
49
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
55
Bahamondes
Musayev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground3
Bahamondes
Musayev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bahamondes
Musayev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/29 fights
Bahamondes
Musayev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Bahamondes
Musayev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bahamondes
Musayev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
BahamondesMusayev
Strike Zones
Bahamondes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMusayev
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bahamondes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Musayev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Musayev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bahamondes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bahamondes
RND
Musayev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bahamondes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Musayev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Bahamondes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 6.2Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Musayev · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06

