UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Flyweight
VS
47%
Reis
53%
Nguyen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nguyen
This is a genuine toss-up — Reis at 47% vs Nguyen at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Nguyen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nguyen has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Reis
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
41
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Reis
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
17.6
41.5
Performance Avg
51.8
33
Quality of Victory
48
65
Momentum Score
33
Reis
Nguyen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
2
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Reis
Nguyen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reis
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Reis
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Reis
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reis
Nguyen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
ReisNguyen
Strike Zones
Reis
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedNguyen
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the head (53% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (81% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reis
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
Reis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Nguyen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
Nguyen · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 4Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R1
Tim ElliottRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07