UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Assuncao
58%
Munhoz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Munhoz
This is a genuine toss-up — Assuncao at 42% vs Munhoz at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Munhoz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Munhoz throws more volume but Assuncao connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Assuncao
Munhoz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Assuncao
Munhoz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
44.0
44.2
Performance Avg
46.2
32
Quality of Victory
44
61
Momentum Score
43
Assuncao
Munhoz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
2
6
Body
5
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
35Distance11
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Assuncao
Munhoz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Munhoz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
22/30 fights
Assuncao
Munhoz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Assuncao
Munhoz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Assuncao
Munhoz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
AssuncaoMunhoz
Strike Zones
Assuncao
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMunhoz
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (76% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Munhoz targets the body (45% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Assuncao
RND
Munhoz
0/0R00/0
Assuncao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Munhoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Assuncao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8Submission
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