UFC 46: Supernatural
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2004
Lightweight
VS
50%
Thomson
50%
Franca
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thomson
This is a genuine toss-up — Thomson at 50% vs Franca at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Thomson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Thomson
Franca
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
71"
Reach
71"
47+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thomson
Franca
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
17.0
45.1
Performance Avg
46.8
47
Quality of Victory
42
43
Momentum Score
43
Thomson
Franca
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
13
1
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
3Clinch1
1Ground9
Thomson
Franca
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thomson
Franca
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
70
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/31 fights
Chin rating based on
11/41 fights
Thomson
Franca
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Thomson
Franca
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thomson
Franca
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
ThomsonFranca
Strike Zones
Thomson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedFranca
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thomson targets the head (43% of attacks) — Franca absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Franca targets the head (100% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thomson
RND
Franca
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thomson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Franca · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Thomson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · Dec · R5
Benson HendersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · KO · R2
Nate DiazRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Yves EdwardsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
Franca · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tyson GriffinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Marcus AurelioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 5.5Decision
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean SherkRating 5.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01