UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Featherweight
VS
52%
Miller
48%
Sicilia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 52% vs Sicilia at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sicilia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sicilia has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Sicilia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
67"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Sicilia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
16.0
49.0
Performance Avg
43.7
47
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
59
Miller
Sicilia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
31%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
2
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Miller
Sicilia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Sicilia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Miller
Sicilia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Miller
Sicilia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Sicilia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
MillerSicilia
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSicilia
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (79% of attacks) — Sicilia absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Sicilia targets the body (67% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Sicilia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Sicilia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Upcoming
Jim AlersUFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Sub · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
Sicilia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gavin TuckerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BenitezRating 2.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Yaotzin MezaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Akira CorassaniRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01