UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Las Vegas, USA
15 Oct 2022
Flyweight
VS
66%
Taira
34%
Vergara
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Taira
Taira holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Vergara has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Taira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Vergara throws more volume but Taira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vergara has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taira
Vergara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
26+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taira
Vergara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.7
35.6
61.0
Performance Avg
36.0
48
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
30
Taira
Vergara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.5
61%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
2
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance8
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Taira
Vergara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taira
Vergara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Taira
Vergara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Taira
Vergara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taira
Vergara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
TairaVergara
Strike Zones
Taira
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedVergara
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taira targets the head (44% of attacks) — Vergara absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Vergara targets the head (82% of attacks) — Taira absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taira
RND
Vergara
0/0R00/0
Taira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Vergara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Taira · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Joshua VanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
HyunSung ParkRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alex PerezRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
Vergara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Edgar ChairezRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Ramazan TemirovRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.6Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Vinicius SalvadorRating 4.5Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Daniel LacerdaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03