UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Welterweight
VS
39%
Baczynski
61%
Melancon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
SB
Seth Baczynski
"The Polish Pistola"
20 – 14
6'3"75" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
BM
Brian Melancon
7 – 3
Knockout Artist43 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Melancon

Melancon holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Baczynski has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Melancon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Melancon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Baczynski's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Baczynski
Melancon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'8"
75"
Reach
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baczynski
Melancon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
22.8
43.3
Performance Avg
56.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
71
Baczynski
Melancon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
6.2
31%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
17
1
Body
3
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance14
2Clinch0
0Ground10
Baczynski
Melancon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baczynski
Melancon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Baczynski
Melancon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Baczynski
Melancon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baczynski
Melancon
Striking2.9 / 10.0Volume4.1 / 1.0Grappling4.2 / 0.0Wrestling2.9 / 0.0Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Baczynski
Strike Zones
Melancon
Baczynski
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY4LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Melancon
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY4LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Baczynski targets the head (62% of attacks) — Melancon absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Melancon targets the head (71% of attacks) — Baczynski absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Baczynski
RND
Melancon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Baczynski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L5.2W5.6W4.5W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.1W5.5L1.5L2.6L2010-062012-062013-072014-082015-04
WinLossTrend

Melancon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0105.0W1.8L2013-072013-08
WinLossTrend

Baczynski · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Leon EdwardsRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Brian MelanconRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

Melancon · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

News & Media

Seth Baczynski · Brian Melancon
← Back to fights