METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Welterweight
VS
39%
Baczynski
61%
Melancon
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
SB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Brian MelanconwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:59
def. Seth Baczynski · UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Melancon
→
Actual result
Melancon wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Melancon holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Baczynski has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Melancon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Baczynski's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BaczynskiMelancon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Baczynski
Melancon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'8"
75"
Reach
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baczynski
Melancon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
22.8
43.3
Performance Avg
56.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
33
Momentum Score
71
Baczynski
Melancon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
8.5
4.1
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
17
1
Body
3
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance14
2Clinch0
0Ground10
Baczynski
Melancon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baczynski
Melancon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Baczynski
Melancon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Baczynski
Melancon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baczynski
Melancon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BaczynskiMelancon
Strike Zones
Baczynski
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedMelancon
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baczynski targets the head (62% of attacks) — Melancon absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Melancon targets the head (71% of attacks) — Baczynski absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baczynski
RND
Melancon
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Baczynski · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Brian MelanconKO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
Melancon · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · KO · R1
Seth BaczynskiKO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07