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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
52%
Cerminara
48%
Ribas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
186
5'9"68" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Amanda
Amanda Ribas
137
Well-Rounded3-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'4"
CFR 38
★ Official Result
Katlyn CerminarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Amanda Ribas · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerminara
Actual result
Cerminara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 52% vs Ribas at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ribas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Ribas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ribas has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraRibas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cerminara
Ribas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
66"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Ribas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
37.5
40.9
Performance Avg
43.3
25
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
28
Cerminara
Ribas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
2.0
35%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
7
Body
5
0
Leg
12
RangeRange
16Distance32
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Cerminara
Ribas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerminara
Ribas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Cerminara
Ribas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Cerminara
Ribas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerminara
Ribas
Striking1.3 / 2.5Volume9.3 / 5.7Grappling2.4 / 3.7Wrestling1.7 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 2.9Pressure1.9 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Cerminara
Strike Zones
Ribas
Cerminara
Attacking
12HEAD7BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD5BODY12LEGS33 absorbed
Ribas
Attacking
16HEAD5BODY12LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD7BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ribas absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Ribas targets the head (48% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerminara
RND
Ribas
0/0R00/0

Cerminara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L5.3W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W4.5W4.1L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.2W4.5W4.6W7.1L6.5L2016-072018-122020-102022-102024-03
WinLossTrend

Ribas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.7W4.5W5.0W3.4L5.2W5.8L5.2W3.7L5.5W6.9L4.0L3.4L2019-062021-012023-062025-07
WinLossTrend

Cerminara · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

Ribas · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Maycee BarberRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Katlyn Cerminara · Amanda Ribas
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