UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
52%
Cerminara
48%
Ribas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cerminara
This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 52% vs Ribas at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ribas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Ribas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ribas has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cerminara
Ribas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
66"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Ribas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
37.5
40.9
Performance Avg
43.3
25
Quality of Victory
36
85
Momentum Score
28
Cerminara
Ribas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.0
35%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
7
Body
5
0
Leg
12
RangeRange
16Distance32
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Cerminara
Ribas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerminara
Ribas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Cerminara
Ribas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Cerminara
Ribas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Ribas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
CerminaraRibas
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedRibas
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ribas absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Ribas targets the head (48% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Ribas
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ribas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Cerminara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Ribas · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Maycee BarberRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

