METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
50%
Moreira
50%
Gillespie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gregor GillespiewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Glaico Franca Moreira · UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moreira
→
Actual result
Gillespie wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moreira at 50% vs Gillespie at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moreira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Gillespie has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoreiraGillespie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moreira
Gillespie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
77"+
Reach
71"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreira
Gillespie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
24.8
73.3
Performance Avg
65.3
100
Quality of Victory
51
35
Momentum Score
89
Moreira
Gillespie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
2.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
0Distance2
2Clinch2
0Ground9
Moreira
Gillespie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moreira
Gillespie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Moreira
Gillespie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
89
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Moreira
Gillespie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
86%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moreira
Gillespie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
MoreiraGillespie
Strike Zones
Moreira
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGillespie
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moreira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gillespie absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gillespie targets the head (77% of attacks) — Moreira absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moreira
RND
Gillespie
0/0R00/0
Moreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Gillespie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Moreira · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Gregor GillespieRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
James VickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Sub · R3
Fernando BrunoRating 5.5Submission
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
Gillespie · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · Sub · R2
Vinc PichelRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Jordan RinaldiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01