★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Houston, USA
8 Feb 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Jones
44%
Reyes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jones
This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 56% vs Reyes at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Reyes throws more volume but Jones connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jones
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
77"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jones
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
55.7
74.6
Performance Avg
56.3
61
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
71
Jones
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.5
58%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
8
Body
8
11
Leg
4
RangeRange
26Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jones
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
10
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Jones
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Jones
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
6
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
JonesReyes
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedReyes
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (43% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Reyes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06