UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
37%
Ribas
63%
Namajunas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Namajunas
Namajunas holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Ribas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Ribas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ribas's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Namajunas has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ribas
Namajunas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ribas
Namajunas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.5
63.2
43.3
Performance Avg
55.9
36
Quality of Victory
51
28
Momentum Score
100
Ribas
Namajunas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
9
Body
12
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance23
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Ribas
Namajunas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ribas
Namajunas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Ribas
Namajunas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Ribas
Namajunas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
42%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ribas
Namajunas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
RibasNamajunas
Strike Zones
Ribas
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedNamajunas
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ribas targets the head (46% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Namajunas targets the head (48% of attacks) — Ribas absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ribas
RND
Namajunas
0/0R00/0
Ribas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ribas · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Maycee BarberRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03