UFC 33: Victory in Vegas
Las Vegas, USA
28 Sept 2001
Middleweight
VS
52%
Almeida
48%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
This is a genuine toss-up — Almeida at 52% vs Jackson at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Almeida
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"
Reach
49+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
16.5
45.1
Performance Avg
48.0
39
Quality of Victory
52
72
Momentum Score
26
Almeida
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
34%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
2
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Almeida
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almeida
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Almeida
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
26
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Almeida
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
AlmeidaJackson
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedJackson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the body (50% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Jackson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark WeirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
W · Sub · R2
Keith RockelRating 5.2Submission
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
L · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 1.5Submission
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Sanae KikutaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04