METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Women's Bantamweight
VS
95%
McMann
5%
Gaff
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
★ Official Result
Sara McMannwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:06
def. Sheila Gaff · UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McMann
→
Actual result
McMann wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McMann is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McMann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Gaff has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gaff has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMannGaff
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMann
Gaff
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Gaff
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
1.6
44.1
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
92
Momentum Score
0
McMann
Gaff
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
1
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch6
7Ground0
McMann
Gaff
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMann
Gaff
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
McMann
Gaff
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
McMann
Gaff
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Gaff
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McMannGaff
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGaff
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (88% of attacks) — Gaff absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Gaff targets the body (86% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Gaff
0/0R00/0
McMann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Gaff · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Gaff · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Sara McMannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04