METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Women's Bantamweight
VS
95%
McMann
5%
Gaff
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
★ Official Result
Sara McMannwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:06
def. Sheila Gaff · UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McMann
→
Actual result
McMann wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McMann is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McMann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gaff has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMannGaff
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMann
Gaff
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Gaff
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
1.6
44.1
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
92
Momentum Score
0
McMann
Gaff
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
1
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch6
7Ground0
McMann
Gaff
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMann
Gaff
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
McMann
Gaff
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
McMann
Gaff
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Gaff
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McMannGaff
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGaff
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (88% of attacks) — Gaff absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Gaff targets the body (86% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Gaff
0/0R00/0
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaSubmission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraSubmission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Gaff · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesKO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Sara McMannKO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04