METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
29%
Reneau
71%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Yana SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marion Reneau · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReneauSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reneau
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
49
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
37.0
44.1
Performance Avg
38.3
46
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
55
Reneau
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
1.8
2.4
Style: Volume
9.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
12
6
Body
3
1
Leg
14
RangeRange
27Distance29
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Reneau
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reneau
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Reneau
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
55
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Reneau
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
ReneauSantos
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedSantos
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the head (74% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Santos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Holly HolmDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03