UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
39%
Reneau
61%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Reneau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Reneau throws more volume but Santos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Reneau
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
48
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.5
37.0
44.1
Performance Avg
38.3
46
Quality of Victory
25
15
Momentum Score
55
Reneau
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
12
6
Body
3
1
Leg
14
RangeRange
27Distance29
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Reneau
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reneau
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Reneau
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
55
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Reneau
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
ReneauSantos
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedSantos
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the head (74% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Reneau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoRating 5.5Decision
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Santos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8Decision
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