UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Issa
48%
Sasaki
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Issa
This is a genuine toss-up — Issa at 52% vs Sasaki at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sasaki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sasaki has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Issa
Sasaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Issa
Sasaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
17.8
44.3
Performance Avg
48.2
47
Quality of Victory
51
59
Momentum Score
46
Issa
Sasaki
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Issa
Sasaki
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Issa
Sasaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/19 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Issa
Sasaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Issa
Sasaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Issa
Sasaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
IssaSasaki
Strike Zones
Issa
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSasaki
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Issa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sasaki absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sasaki targets the head (60% of attacks) — Issa absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Issa
RND
Sasaki
0/0R00/0
Issa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Sasaki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Issa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Iuri AlcantaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
W · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
W · Sub · R3
Jumabieke TuerxunRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Sub · R2
Russell DoaneRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
Sasaki · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Sub · R2
Jenel LausaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · Sub · R2
Justin ScogginsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02