UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Middleweight
VS
44%
Fukuda
56%
Cantwell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RF
Riki Fukuda
24 – 9
6'0"73" reachSouthpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
SC
Steve Cantwell
"The Robot"
7 – 6
Submission Hunter5-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cantwell

This is a genuine toss-up — Fukuda at 44% vs Cantwell at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cantwell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Fukuda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Fukuda
Cantwell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fukuda
Cantwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
16.7
31.0
Performance Avg
39.1
25
Quality of Victory
54
55
Momentum Score
33
Fukuda
Cantwell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
32%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
8
12
Body
2
11
Leg
1
RangeRange
50Distance7
5Clinch4
1Ground0
Fukuda
Cantwell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fukuda
Cantwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
90
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/13 fights
Fukuda
Cantwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fukuda
Cantwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fukuda
Cantwell
Striking0.8 / 0.3Volume8.8 / 0.3Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure1.2 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Fukuda
Strike Zones
Cantwell
Fukuda
Attacking
33HEAD12BODY11LEGS56 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Cantwell
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD12BODY11LEGS56 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fukuda targets the head (59% of attacks) — Cantwell absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Cantwell targets the head (73% of attacks) — Fukuda absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fukuda
RND
Cantwell
0/0R00/0

Fukuda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2011-022012-022012-072012-112013-03
WinLossTrend

Cantwell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L2008-122009-042009-092011-032011-102012-02
WinLossTrend

Fukuda · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Tom DeBlassRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Nick RingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02

Cantwell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Riki FukudaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Mike MassenzioRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Cyrille DiabateRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Brian StannRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
Luiz CaneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

News & Media

Riki Fukuda · Steve Cantwell
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