METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
A grappler with a 44 chin rating who has just been knocked out meets a puncher who has finished two of his last three inside a round.
Anthony Hernandez spent two years turning middleweights into grappling exhibitions, and then Sean Strickland punched him out in the third round in February. That single result is the axis of this main event, because the man opposite him now is the one fighter on this card whose entire profile is built around landing hard. The ratings sit close enough to be interesting. Rodrigues carries a 66.6 co…
Hernandez (15-3) had won four straight — Kopylov and Dolidze by submission, Pereira by fifth-round TKO, Allen on the cards — before Strickland stopped him in the third round in February. He is 32, six months out of the cage, and his 44.0 chin rating and 0.78 finish rate describe a fighter who finishes people and can be finished himself.
Rodrigues (19-6) has won three in a row: Brunno Ferreira by first-round KO in March, Roman Kopylov on the cards in November, Jack Hermansson by first-round TKO in June 2025. At 34 he is the older man by two years, and his only recent defeat was a fourth-round knockout by Jared Cannonier in February 2025.
Hernandez's 44.0 chin rating against an 8.54 striking score, six months after Strickland stopped him
Rodrigues has a 0.00 submission score and 0.50 wrestling — no recorded answer to Hernandez's 5.56 submission rating
Hernandez's finishes have come in rounds two, four and five; Rodrigues has stopped two of his last three inside a round
Identical 190.5cm reach on frames 7.6cm apart in height
Two chins under 55 and two fighters who each got knocked out in the last eighteen months
If Hernandez gets an early body-lock, Rodrigues has no measured grappling to escape it and the fight ends quickly the other way
Rodrigues' own 54.0 chin has already failed once against a heavy hitter, and Hernandez's 7.69 pressure rating means the exchanges will be constant
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown