UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2009
Welterweight
VS
44%
Cramer
56%
Arroyo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
Dan Cramer
11 – 4
6'2"Orthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MA
Matt Arroyo
"No Regard"
3 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arroyo

This is a genuine toss-up — Cramer at 44% vs Arroyo at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Arroyo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.

Arroyo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Cramer
Arroyo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
Reach
72"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cramer
Arroyo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
18.3
35.0
Performance Avg
45.7
25
Quality of Victory
54
55
Momentum Score
43
Cramer
Arroyo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.5
32%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground5
Cramer
Arroyo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cramer
Arroyo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Cramer
Arroyo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Cramer
Arroyo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cramer
Arroyo
Striking1.0 / 0.7Volume9.0 / 0.7Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure1.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Cramer
Strike Zones
Arroyo
Cramer
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Arroyo
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cramer targets the head (91% of attacks) — Arroyo absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Arroyo targets the head (83% of attacks) — Cramer absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cramer
RND
Arroyo
0/0R00/0

Cramer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L2009-012009-08
WinLossTrend

Arroyo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W3.1L5.5L2007-122008-062009-01
WinLossTrend

Cramer · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Dec · R3
Matt ArroyoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01

Arroyo · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Dan CramerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Sub · R1
John KolosciRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12

News & Media

Dan Cramer · Matt Arroyo
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