METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2009
Welterweight
VS
44%
Cramer
56%
Arroyo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dan CramerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Arroyo · UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arroyo
→
Actual result
Cramer wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cramer at 44% vs Arroyo at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Arroyo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Arroyo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CramerArroyo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cramer
Arroyo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
Reach
72"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cramer
Arroyo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
18.3
35.0
Performance Avg
45.7
25
Quality of Victory
54
55
Momentum Score
43
Cramer
Arroyo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
0.5
32%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground5
Cramer
Arroyo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cramer
Arroyo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Cramer
Arroyo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Cramer
Arroyo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cramer
Arroyo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
CramerArroyo
Strike Zones
Cramer
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedArroyo
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cramer targets the head (91% of attacks) — Arroyo absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Arroyo targets the head (83% of attacks) — Cramer absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cramer
RND
Arroyo
0/0R00/0
Cramer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Arroyo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Cramer · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Dec · R3
Matt ArroyoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
Arroyo · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Dan CramerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Sub · R1
John KolosciRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12