UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title
New Orleans, USA
8 Jan 1999
Middleweight
VS
90%
Tanner
10%
Gholar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 7:57
ET
Evan Tanner
32 – 8
6'0"74" reachOrthodox55 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
DG
Darrel Gholar
5 – 6
Well-Rounded63 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tanner

Tanner is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tanner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.

Tanner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tanner
Gholar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"
Reach
55+
Age
63
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tanner
Gholar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
2.5
57.1
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
93
Momentum Score
0
Tanner
Gholar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.6
64%
Strike Accuracy
15%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
5
Body
1
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance0
14Clinch0
0Ground4
Tanner
Gholar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tanner
Gholar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
1/11 fights
Tanner
Gholar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tanner
Gholar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tanner
Gholar
Striking4.9 / 0.0Volume2.8 / 0.0Grappling3.4 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Tanner
Strike Zones
Gholar
Tanner
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY9LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Gholar
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY9LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the head (42% of attacks) — Gholar absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Gholar targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tanner
RND
Gholar
0/0R00/0

Tanner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.0W4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.3W5.0W5.1L4.8L5.0W2.8L5.5L1999-012002-032004-102008-032008-06
WinLossTrend

Tanner · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin LevensRating 5
Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinRating 5.1
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

Gholar · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01

News & Media

Evan Tanner · Darrel Gholar
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