METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title
New Orleans, USA
8 Jan 1999
Middleweight
VS
90%
Tanner
10%
Gholar
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 7:57
ET
Evan Tanner
328
6'0"74" reachOrthodox55 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
DG
Darrel Gholar
56
Well-Rounded63 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Evan TannerwinsSubmissionR1 · 7:57
def. Darrel Gholar · UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tanner
Actual result
Tanner wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Tanner is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tanner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.

Risk flags

Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TannerGholar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Tanner
Gholar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"
Reach
55+
Age
63
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tanner
Gholar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
2.5
57.1
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
93
Momentum Score
0
Tanner
Gholar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.8
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
5
Body
1
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance0
14Clinch0
0Ground4
Tanner
Gholar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tanner
Gholar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
1/11 fights
Tanner
Gholar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tanner
Gholar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tanner
Gholar
Striking4.9 / 0.0Volume2.8 / 0.0Grappling3.4 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Tanner
Strike Zones
Gholar
Tanner
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY9LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Gholar
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY9LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the head (42% of attacks) — Gholar absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Gholar targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tanner
RND
Gholar
0/0R00/0

Tanner · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kendall Grove
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin Okami
KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin Levens
Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David Loiseau
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich Franklin
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

Gholar · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Evan Tanner
Submission
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01

News & Media

Evan Tanner · Darrel Gholar
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