UFC 59: Reality Check
Anaheim, USA
15 Apr 2006
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Monson
51%
Cruz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cruz
This is a genuine toss-up — Monson at 49% vs Cruz at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cruz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Cruz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Monson
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
55
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Monson
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
21.2
47.8
Performance Avg
52.9
42
Quality of Victory
55
89
Momentum Score
65
Monson
Cruz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
2Clinch2
3Ground0
Monson
Cruz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Monson
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/86 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Monson
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
65
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Monson
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Monson
Cruz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
MonsonCruz
Strike Zones
Monson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCruz
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Monson targets the head (43% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Cruz targets the head (50% of attacks) — Monson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Monson
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0
Monson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cruz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Monson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Tim SylviaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
W · Dec · R3
Marcio CruzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
W · Sub · R1
Branden Lee HinkleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
Cruz · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
L · Dec · R3
Jeff MonsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
W · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Keigo KuniharaRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10