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UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Anaheim, USA
17 Aug 2019
Bantamweight
VS
33%
Assuncao
67%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RA
Raphael Assuncao
2810
5'5"66" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
186
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Cory SandhagenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Raphael Assuncao · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sandhagen
Actual result
Sandhagen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Sandhagen holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Assuncao has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sandhagen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Sandhagen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AssuncaoSandhagen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+70"
44
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
64.2
44.2
Performance Avg
53.8
32
Quality of Victory
44
61
Momentum Score
100
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
13
5
Body
4
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
13Distance22
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
100
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Assuncao
Sandhagen
Striking2.9 / 5.9Volume7.3 / 4.3Grappling2.5 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.8 / 0.9Pressure3.6 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Assuncao
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Assuncao
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY6LEGS23 absorbed
Sandhagen
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY6LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (57% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Assuncao
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0

Assuncao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W4.6W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5W4.5W5.5W5.7W1.5L7.0L3.8L3.4L5.4W4.8L2011-032013-102017-062020-062023-03
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Assuncao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · KO · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

News & Media

Raphael Assuncao · Cory Sandhagen
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