UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Anaheim, USA
17 Aug 2019
Bantamweight
VS
33%
Assuncao
67%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sandhagen
Sandhagen holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Assuncao has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sandhagen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Sandhagen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Assuncao's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+70"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.4
64.2
44.2
Performance Avg
53.8
32
Quality of Victory
44
61
Momentum Score
100
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
13
5
Body
4
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
13Distance22
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/38 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
100
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Assuncao
Sandhagen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
AssuncaoSandhagen
Strike Zones
Assuncao
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSandhagen
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Assuncao targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (57% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Assuncao
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0
Assuncao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Sandhagen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Assuncao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8Submission
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Victor HenryRating 5.4Decision
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UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
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UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
Sandhagen · Last 5
Upcoming
Mario BautistaUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08