METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Flyweight
VS
43%
Moreno
57%
Taira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:24
★ Official Result
Tatsuro TairawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:24
def. Brandon Moreno · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Taira
→
Actual result
Taira wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 43% vs Taira at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Taira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorenoTaira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moreno
Taira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
32
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Taira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
69.7
52.5
Performance Avg
61.0
47
Quality of Victory
48
54
Momentum Score
100
Moreno
Taira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
0
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground18
Moreno
Taira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moreno
Taira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Moreno
Taira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Moreno
Taira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moreno
Taira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
MorenoTaira
Strike Zones
Moreno
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTaira
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (86% of attacks) — Taira absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Taira targets the head (85% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moreno
RND
Taira
0/0R00/0
Moreno · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Taira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Moreno · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Taira · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Joshua VanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
HyunSung ParkRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alex PerezRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06