METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Flyweight
VS
43%
Moreno
57%
Taira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:24
★ Official Result
Tatsuro TairawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:24
def. Brandon Moreno · UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Taira
→
Actual result
Taira wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 43% vs Taira at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorenoTaira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moreno
Taira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
32
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Taira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
69.7
52.5
Performance Avg
61.0
47
Quality of Victory
48
54
Momentum Score
100
Moreno
Taira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
7.7
4.9
Style: Volume
3.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
0
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground18
Moreno
Taira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moreno
Taira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/33 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Moreno
Taira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Moreno
Taira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moreno
Taira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
MorenoTaira
Strike Zones
Moreno
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTaira
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (86% of attacks) — Taira absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Taira targets the head (85% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moreno
RND
Taira
0/0R00/0
Moreno · Last 5
Upcoming
Joseph MoralesNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
Taira · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Joshua VanKO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Brandon MorenoKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
HyunSung ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alex PerezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06