UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Flyweight
VS
43%
Moreno
57%
Taira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:24
Brandon
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
23 – 10
5'7"70" reachOrthodox32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Tatsuro
Tatsuro Taira
"The Best"
18 – 2
Pressure Fighter26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Taira

This is a genuine toss-up — Moreno at 43% vs Taira at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Taira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moreno's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moreno
Taira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
32
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moreno
Taira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.8
69.7
52.5
Performance Avg
61.0
47
Quality of Victory
48
54
Momentum Score
100
Moreno
Taira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
0
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground18
Moreno
Taira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moreno
Taira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/33 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Moreno
Taira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Moreno
Taira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moreno
Taira
Striking3.0 / 5.3Volume4.9 / 3.6Grappling3.3 / 3.6Wrestling2.3 / 2.5Submission2.7 / 3.8Pressure5.0 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Moreno
Strike Zones
Taira
Moreno
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD2BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Taira
Attacking
22HEAD2BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moreno targets the head (86% of attacks) — Taira absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Taira targets the head (85% of attacks) — Moreno absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moreno
RND
Taira
0/0R00/0

Moreno · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W4.5W5.2W5.5L6.8L5.4W4.5W5.8W6.3W6.6L6.1W5.3W6.8L6.3L5.8W5.1W4.5L6.2L2016-102019-122022-072025-032026-02
WinLossTrend

Taira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W5.3W5.9W5.5W5.2W6.4W6.3L7.0W6.1W5.6L2022-052023-072024-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Moreno · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Taira · Last 5

L · KO · R5
Joshua VanRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
HyunSung ParkRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alex PerezRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

News & Media

Brandon Moreno · Tatsuro Taira
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