UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Middleweight
VS
94%
Magomedov
6%
Trocoli
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magomedov
Magomedov is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 60 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Magomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trocoli has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magomedov
Trocoli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
73"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Trocoli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
4.2
54.9
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
99
Momentum Score
0
Magomedov
Trocoli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.3
68%
Strike Accuracy
34%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
6
Body
0
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
31Distance0
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Magomedov
Trocoli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Trocoli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Magomedov
Trocoli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Magomedov
Trocoli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Trocoli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MagomedovTrocoli
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTrocoli
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the head (48% of attacks) — Trocoli absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Trocoli
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Trocoli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Magomedov · Last 5
Upcoming
Michel PereiraUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R2
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Trocoli · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Mantas KondrataviciusRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Mansur Abdul-MalikRating 3.4Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Tresean GoreRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06