UFC 125: Resolution
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jan 2011
Middleweight
VS
27%
Baroni
73%
Tavares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tavares
Tavares is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Baroni has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Baroni has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Baroni's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Baroni
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
50
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baroni
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.1
35.6
41.5
Performance Avg
40.1
49
Quality of Victory
29
10
Momentum Score
49
Baroni
Tavares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
4
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance8
2Clinch8
7Ground6
Baroni
Tavares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Baroni
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
29/34 fights
Baroni
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
49
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Baroni
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
13%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baroni
Tavares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
BaroniTavares
Strike Zones
Baroni
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTavares
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baroni targets the head (55% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (68% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baroni
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Baroni · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Baroni · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brad TavaresRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 5.5Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete SellRating 4Submission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan TannerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10