METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 125: Resolution
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jan 2011
Middleweight
VS
27%
Baroni
73%
Tavares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:20
PB
Phil Baroni
"The New York Bad Ass"
1518
5'9"72" reachOrthodox50 yrs6-fight slideStriker
CFR 13
Brad
Brad Tavares
2113
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 36
★ Official Result
Brad TavareswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:20
def. Phil Baroni · UFC 125: Resolution

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
Actual result
Tavares wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Tavares is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Baroni has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Risk flags

Baroni's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BaroniTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Baroni
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
50
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baroni
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.1
35.6
41.5
Performance Avg
40.1
49
Quality of Victory
29
10
Momentum Score
49
Baroni
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
2.6
3.3
Style: Volume
8.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
4
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance8
2Clinch8
7Ground6
Baroni
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baroni
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
28/34 fights
Baroni
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
49
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Baroni
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
13%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baroni
Tavares
Striking7.3 / 2.4Volume3.3 / 8.1Grappling0.8 / 2.1Wrestling0.6 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Baroni
Strike Zones
Tavares
Baroni
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY3LEGS22 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY3LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Baroni targets the head (55% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (68% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Baroni
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Baroni · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Brad Tavares
KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir Sadollah
Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete Sell
Submission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan Tanner
Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan Tanner
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11

Tavares · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eryk Anders
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert Bryczek
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald Meerschaert
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong Park
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Gregory Rodrigues
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Phil Baroni · Brad Tavares
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