UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Dec 2023
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Elliott
56%
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 44% vs at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
47.6
37.9
Performance Avg
42.5
33
Quality of Victory
31
43
Momentum Score
75
Elliott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
0
Body
3
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance10
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Elliott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
75
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Elliott
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedAttacking
10 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the head (60% of attacks) — absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (60% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
0/0R00/0
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
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Upcoming
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