UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Welterweight
VS
56%
Garry
44%
Page
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ian
Ian Machado Garry
"The Future"
17 – 1
6'3"74" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Michael
Michael Page
"Venom"
25 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsSwitch79" reach6'3"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garry

This is a genuine toss-up — Garry at 56% vs Page at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Garry
Page
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
74"
Reach
+79"
28+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Garry
Page
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
50.2
57.1
Performance Avg
47.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
70
Garry
Page
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.7
59%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Garry
Page
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garry
Page
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
5/28 fights
Garry
Page
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
70
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Garry
Page
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garry
Page
Striking4.8 / 1.6Volume7.4 / 9.6Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 2.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.6
Garry
Strike Zones
Page
Garry
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Page
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garry targets the head (75% of attacks) — Page absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Page targets the head (80% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garry
RND
Page
0/0R00/0

Garry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.9W5.1W5.5W5.3W7.6L6.7W5.6W2021-112023-032024-022025-042025-11
WinLossTrend

Page · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.1W7.0L6.0W5.5W6.2W2024-032024-062025-022025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Garry · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Page · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sam PattersonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared CannonierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

News & Media

Ian Machado Garry · Michael Page
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