UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Heavyweight
VS
98%
Tafa
2%
Hunsucker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tafa
Tafa is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 65 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Tafa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tafa's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hunsucker has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tafa
Hunsucker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Hunsucker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.1
1.5
53.8
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
98
Momentum Score
0
Tafa
Hunsucker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Tafa
Hunsucker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Tafa
Hunsucker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Tafa
Hunsucker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Tafa
Hunsucker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tafa
Hunsucker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TafaHunsucker
Strike Zones
Tafa
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHunsucker
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hunsucker absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Hunsucker targets the head (40% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tafa
RND
Hunsucker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tafa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Hunsucker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker PorterRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Hunsucker · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03