UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Lightweight
VS
50%
Wiman
50%
Buchholz
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:56
MW
Matt Wiman
16 – 10
5'10"68" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
JB
Justin Buchholz
15 – 10
Submission Hunter3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wiman

This is a genuine toss-up — Wiman at 50% vs Buchholz at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Wiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wiman's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wiman
Buchholz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wiman
Buchholz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
15.7
46.3
Performance Avg
37.7
40
Quality of Victory
50
54
Momentum Score
33
Wiman
Buchholz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
28%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Wiman
Buchholz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wiman
Buchholz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Wiman
Buchholz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Wiman
Buchholz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wiman
Buchholz
Striking3.1 / 0.4Volume5.1 / 0.4Grappling3.6 / 8.0Wrestling2.5 / 5.6Submission3.0 / 10.0Pressure5.2 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Wiman
Strike Zones
Buchholz
Wiman
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Buchholz
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wiman targets the head (83% of attacks) — Buchholz absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Buchholz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wiman
RND
Buchholz
0/0R00/0

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L3.0L2006-052008-122011-072019-062020-12
WinLossTrend

Buchholz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.5L5.2W2.8L4.5L5.5L2008-012008-072009-062009-092010-02
WinLossTrend

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

Buchholz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mac DanzigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Sub · R2
Terry EtimRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
W · Sub · R2
Corey HillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman · 2008-01

News & Media

Matt Wiman · Justin Buchholz
← Back to fights