The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Dec 2007
Welterweight
VS
91%
Machine
9%
Rollins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:01
WM
War Machine
14 – 5
5'11"Orthodox44 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 21
JR
Jared Rollins
"J-Roc"
8 – 4
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Machine

Machine is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Machine has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.

Machine has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Machine
Rollins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
44+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Machine
Rollins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
2.2
50.0
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Machine
Rollins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
73%
Strike Accuracy
70%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch4
15Ground3
Machine
Rollins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Machine
Rollins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/19 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Machine
Rollins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Machine
Rollins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Machine
Rollins
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume1.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Machine
Strike Zones
Rollins
Machine
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Rollins
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Machine targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rollins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rollins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Machine absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Machine
RND
Rollins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Machine · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5W1.5L2007-122008-05
WinLossTrend

Machine · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Yoshiyuki YoshidaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · KO · R3
Jared RollinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12

Rollins · Last 1

L · KO · R3
War MachineRating 4
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12

News & Media

War Machine · Jared Rollins
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