★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
New York City, USA
4 Nov 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
31%
Jedrzejczyk
69%
Namajunas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Namajunas
Namajunas holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Jedrzejczyk has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jedrzejczyk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jedrzejczyk's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Namajunas has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
63.2
52.9
Performance Avg
55.9
44
Quality of Victory
51
58
Momentum Score
100
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
14
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
42%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jedrzejczyk
Namajunas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
JedrzejczykNamajunas
Strike Zones
Jedrzejczyk
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedNamajunas
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jedrzejczyk targets the head (40% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Namajunas targets the head (93% of attacks) — Jedrzejczyk absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jedrzejczyk
RND
Namajunas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jedrzejczyk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Namajunas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Jedrzejczyk · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R5
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
Namajunas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03