METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Lightweight
VS
21%
Stout
79%
Stephens
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jeremy StephenswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Stout · UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stephens
→
Actual result
Stephens wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Stephens is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stephens has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Stout's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoutStephens
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stout
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stout
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
45.0
35.3
Performance Avg
41.1
29
Quality of Victory
40
60
Momentum Score
76
Stout
Stephens
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
2.1
Style: Pressure
4.5
8.0
Style: Volume
4.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
9
4
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance10
3Clinch2
7Ground0
Stout
Stephens
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stout
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Stout
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Stout
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
47%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stout
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
StoutStephens
Strike Zones
Stout
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedStephens
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stout targets the head (81% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (75% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stout
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseSubmission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezDecision
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