METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Middleweight
VS
58%
Magomedov
42%
Alves
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Abus MagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Warlley Alves · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magomedov
→
Actual result
Magomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Magomedov at 58% vs Alves at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Magomedov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alves has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MagomedovAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magomedov
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magomedov
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.5
39.1
50.1
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
49
63
Momentum Score
30
Magomedov
Alves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
5.9
4.5
Style: Volume
3.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Magomedov
Alves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magomedov
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
14
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Magomedov
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
30
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Magomedov
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
63%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magomedov
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
MagomedovAlves
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAlves
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magomedov targets the body (60% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (40% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magomedov
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
Magomedov · Last 5
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