UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Featherweight
VS
47%
Ige
53%
Woodson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Woodson
This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 47% vs Woodson at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Woodson throws more volume but Ige connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Woodson has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ige
Woodson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+78"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ige
Woodson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
56.1
46.3
Performance Avg
52.1
42
Quality of Victory
35
53
Momentum Score
84
Ige
Woodson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance7
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Ige
Woodson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Woodson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Ige
Woodson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ige
Woodson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
29%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ige
Woodson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
IgeWoodson
Strike Zones
Ige
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedWoodson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (75% of attacks) — Woodson absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Woodson targets the head (86% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ige
RND
Woodson
0/0R00/0
Ige · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Woodson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ige · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Woodson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Dan IgeRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Fernando PadillaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5Decision
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