METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Welterweight
VS
44%
Howard
56%
Ebersole
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brian EbersolewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Howard · UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ebersole
→
Actual result
Ebersole wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 44% vs Ebersole at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HowardEbersole
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Howard
Ebersole
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Howard
Ebersole
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
17.4
40.1
Performance Avg
44.2
34
Quality of Victory
32
40
Momentum Score
75
Howard
Ebersole
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
3.3
6.7
Style: Volume
7.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
14
8
Body
5
8
Leg
9
RangeRange
17Distance21
12Clinch7
0Ground0
Howard
Ebersole
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Howard
Ebersole
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
8/69 fights
Howard
Ebersole
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
75
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Howard
Ebersole
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Howard
Ebersole
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
HowardEbersole
Strike Zones
Howard
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedEbersole
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (45% of attacks) — Ebersole absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Ebersole targets the head (50% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Howard
RND
Ebersole
0/0R00/0
Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareDecision
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Ebersole · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Omari AkhmedovKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
John HowardDecision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
James HeadDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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