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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Women's Featherweight
VS
58%
Chiasson
42%
Dumont
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Macy
Macy Chiasson
116
5'11"72" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Norma
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
133
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Macy ChiassonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Norma Dumont · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiasson
Actual result
Chiasson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Chiasson at 58% vs Dumont at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Chiasson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Dumont has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chiasson's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ChiassonDumont
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Chiasson
Dumont
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chiasson
Dumont
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.5
45.3
53.0
Performance Avg
48.0
50
Quality of Victory
30
96
Momentum Score
50
Chiasson
Dumont
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
10
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance8
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Chiasson
Dumont
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chiasson
Dumont
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/16 fights
Chiasson
Dumont
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chiasson
Dumont
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chiasson
Dumont
Striking3.6 / 1.5Volume4.1 / 9.5Grappling2.9 / 2.4Wrestling2.0 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Chiasson
Strike Zones
Dumont
Chiasson
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Dumont
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chiasson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Dumont absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Dumont targets the head (83% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chiasson
RND
Dumont
0/0R00/0

Chiasson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W3.3L5.0W4.8L5.0W4.9W5.9L5.6L6.5L2018-112020-022022-092025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Dumont · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0101.5L4.5W4.8W4.5W6.8L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.7W5.3W4.9W6.9L2020-022021-102023-042024-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Chiasson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · R2
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 4.9
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Pannie KianzadRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

Dumont · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Germaine de RandamieRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Macy Chiasson · Norma Dumont
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