UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Catch Weight
VS
44%
Green
56%
Jr.
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
King
King Green
35 – 17
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Lance
Lance Gibson Jr.
"Fearless"
10 – 2
Knockout Artist31 yrsSwitch72" reach5'9"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jr.

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 44% vs Jr. at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jr. has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Green
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Green
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
63.5
45.9
Performance Avg
56.0
38
Quality of Victory
60
85
Momentum Score
59
Green
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
13
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance5
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Green
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/52 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Green
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
59
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Green
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Jr.
Striking3.6 / 10.0Volume5.6 / 1.0Grappling2.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission1.9 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Green
Strike Zones
Jr.
Green
Attacking
12HEAD13BODY3LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Jr.
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD13BODY3LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the body (46% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the body (60% of attacks) — Green absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Jr. · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.2L5.8W2025-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Jr. · Last 2

W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

News & Media

King Green · Lance Gibson Jr.
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