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UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Catch Weight
VS
44%
Green
56%
Jr.
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
King
King Green
3517
5'10"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Lance
Lance Gibson Jr.
"Fearless"
102
Knockout Artist31 yrsSwitch72" reach5'9"
CFR 64
★ Official Result
King GreenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lance Gibson Jr. · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jr.
Actual result
Green wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 44% vs Jr. at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jr. has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GreenJr.
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Green
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Green
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.1
63.5
47.2
Performance Avg
56.0
40
Quality of Victory
60
85
Momentum Score
59
Green
Jr.
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.4
Style: Volume
1.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
13
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance5
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Green
Jr.
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Green
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
32/52 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Green
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
59
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Green
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Jr.
Striking4.1 / 10.0Volume5.4 / 1.0Grappling2.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.9 / 0.0Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Green
Strike Zones
Jr.
Green
Attacking
12HEAD13BODY3LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Jr.
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD13BODY3LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the body (46% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the body (60% of attacks) — Green absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0

Green · Last 5

Upcoming
Esteban Ribovics
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinney
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy Stephens
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel Zellhuber
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

Jr. · Last 2

W · KO · R1
Chase Hooper
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
King Green
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

News & Media

King Green · Lance Gibson Jr.
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