UFC 69: Shootout
Houston, USA
7 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
57%
Koscheck
43%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Koscheck
This is a genuine toss-up — Koscheck at 57% vs Sanchez at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sanchez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Koscheck
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
48
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Koscheck
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
12.7
50.5
Performance Avg
46.0
44
Quality of Victory
37
59
Momentum Score
20
Koscheck
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Koscheck
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koscheck
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
32/44 fights
Koscheck
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Koscheck
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
32%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
13
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koscheck
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
KoscheckSanchez
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (60% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (60% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koscheck
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
Koscheck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09