★ Championship Bout · Interim Heavyweight
UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Interim Heavyweight
VS
48%
Nogueira
52%
Sylvia
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:28
AR
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira
"Minotauro"
34 – 10
6'3"77" reachOrthodox49 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TS
Tim Sylvia
"The Maine-iac"
31 – 10
Striker50 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sylvia

This is a genuine toss-up — Nogueira at 48% vs Sylvia at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Sylvia throws more volume but Nogueira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Nogueira's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sylvia has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nogueira
Sylvia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'8"
77"
Reach
+80"
49+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nogueira
Sylvia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
21.1
49.3
Performance Avg
63.7
52
Quality of Victory
60
91
Momentum Score
52
Nogueira
Sylvia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Nogueira
Sylvia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nogueira
Sylvia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/44 fights
Chin rating based on
13/41 fights
Nogueira
Sylvia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Nogueira
Sylvia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nogueira
Sylvia
Striking2.9 / 6.9Volume4.1 / 4.9Grappling4.2 / 1.1Wrestling2.9 / 0.8Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Nogueira
Strike Zones
Sylvia
Nogueira
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Sylvia
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nogueira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sylvia absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sylvia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nogueira
RND
Sylvia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nogueira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0104.5W5.2W2.1L4.5W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W2.1L1.5L5.5L2007-072009-082011-122014-042015-08
WinLossTrend

Sylvia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L2.2L5.0W4.5W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W2.8L2002-092005-022006-072008-02
WinLossTrend

Nogueira · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R2
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Sub · R2
Dave HermanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12

Sylvia · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
L · Dec · R5
Randy CoutureRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
W · Dec · R5
Jeff MonsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · Dec · R5
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07

News & Media

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira · Tim Sylvia
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