UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Las Vegas, USA
19 Oct 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
58%
Edwards
42%
Vidal
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 58% vs Vidal at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vidal has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Vidal has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edwards
Vidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
30
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Vidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
45.6
51.2
Performance Avg
46.0
39
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
36
Edwards
Vidal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
5
6
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance6
1Clinch5
11Ground0
Edwards
Vidal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Edwards
Vidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Edwards
Vidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Edwards
Vidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Vidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
EdwardsVidal
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedVidal
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (73% of attacks) — Vidal absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Vidal targets the head (45% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Vidal
0/0R00/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Vidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 5Decision
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Vidal · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.4Submission
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Melissa GattoRating 4.9KO/TKO
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