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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Catch Weight
VS
44%
Ige
56%
Lopes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dan
Dan Ige
"100K"
1911
5'7"71" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Diego
Diego Lopes
278
Knockout Artist31 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Diego LopeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Ige · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lopes
Actual result
Lopes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 44% vs Lopes at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
IgeLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Ige
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ige
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
62.9
46.3
Performance Avg
57.5
42
Quality of Victory
49
53
Momentum Score
69
Ige
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
7.1
4.7
Style: Volume
3.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
10
1
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance13
1Clinch2
13Ground0
Ige
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ige
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
22/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Ige
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Ige
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
71%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ige
Lopes
Striking5.6 / 7.1Volume4.7 / 3.7Grappling1.8 / 1.8Wrestling1.3 / 1.3Submission0.9 / 1.4Pressure5.4 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Ige
Strike Zones
Lopes
Ige
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Lopes
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ige
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0

Ige · Last 5

Upcoming
David Martinez
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · KO · R1
Melquizael Costa
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio Pitbull
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean Woodson
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone Murphy
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

Lopes · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Steve Garcia
KO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · Dec · R5
Alexander Volkanovski
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Jean Silva
KO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Alexander Volkanovski
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Brian Ortega
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

Dan Ige · Diego Lopes
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