METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Catch Weight
VS
44%
Ige
56%
Lopes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Diego LopeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Ige · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lopes
→
Actual result
Lopes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 44% vs Lopes at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IgeLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ige
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ige
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
62.9
46.3
Performance Avg
57.5
42
Quality of Victory
49
53
Momentum Score
69
Ige
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
7.1
4.7
Style: Volume
3.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
10
1
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance13
1Clinch2
13Ground0
Ige
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ige
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Ige
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Ige
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
71%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ige
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
IgeLopes
Strike Zones
Ige
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedLopes
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ige
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
Ige · Last 5
Upcoming
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Sean WoodsonKO/TKO
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Lopes · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Steve GarciaKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
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Jean SilvaKO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Brian OrtegaDecision
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