UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Catch Weight
VS
44%
Ige
56%
Lopes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dan
Dan Ige
"100K"
19 – 11
5'7"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Diego
Diego Lopes
27 – 8
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lopes

This is a genuine toss-up — Ige at 44% vs Lopes at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lopes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ige's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ige
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+72"
34
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ige
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
61.4
46.3
Performance Avg
55.6
42
Quality of Victory
48
53
Momentum Score
69
Ige
Lopes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
10
1
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance13
1Clinch2
13Ground0
Ige
Lopes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ige
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Ige
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Ige
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ige
Lopes
Striking5.6 / 6.3Volume4.7 / 4.0Grappling1.8 / 2.1Wrestling1.3 / 1.5Submission0.9 / 1.7Pressure5.4 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Ige
Strike Zones
Lopes
Ige
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Lopes
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ige targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ige
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0

Ige · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W6.0L5.6L6.8L5.5W5.2W6.5L5.7W6.8L7.0L6.6W5.5L2.7L2018-012020-052023-012025-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Lopes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0106.8L5.0W6.0W5.8W5.2W5.9W7.0L6.7W7.0L2023-052024-042025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Ige · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Lopes · Last 5

Upcoming
Steve Garcia
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

Dan Ige · Diego Lopes
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