METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Flyweight
VS
53%
Johnson
47%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Charles JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bruno Silva · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 53% vs Silva at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
70"+
Reach
65"
35+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.5
50.6
48.2
Performance Avg
49.9
43
Quality of Victory
53
96
Momentum Score
39
Johnson
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
8.4
5.6
Style: Volume
0.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
28
13
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance32
13Clinch2
0Ground0
Johnson
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Johnson
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Johnson
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
JohnsonSilva
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedSilva
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (82% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Eduardo ChapolinSubmission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezKO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
Silva · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Edgar ChairezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R3
HyunSung ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Joshua VanKO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12