UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Barry
45%
Morecraft
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
PB
Pat Barry
"HD"
8 – 7
5'11"74" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
CM
Christian Morecraft
8 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'6"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barry

This is a genuine toss-up — Barry at 55% vs Morecraft at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barry's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Morecraft has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barry
Morecraft
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'6"
74"
Reach
+81"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barry
Morecraft
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
15.3
47.3
Performance Avg
39.7
51
Quality of Victory
50
85
Momentum Score
36
Barry
Morecraft
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.8
57%
Strike Accuracy
26%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Barry
Morecraft
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barry
Morecraft
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Barry
Morecraft
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Barry
Morecraft
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barry
Morecraft
Striking8.8 / 0.5Volume2.4 / 0.5Grappling0.5 / 8.0Wrestling0.3 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure6.8 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Barry
Strike Zones
Morecraft
Barry
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Morecraft
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barry targets the head (83% of attacks) — Morecraft absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Morecraft targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barry absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barry
RND
Morecraft
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5W1.5L2.8L5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L1.5L2008-122010-062011-102012-122013-12
WinLossTrend

Morecraft · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0102.8L5.2W2.8L1.5L2010-082011-032011-062012-01
WinLossTrend

Barry · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · KO · R2
Shane del RosarioRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Christian MorecraftRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01

Morecraft · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · KO · R2
Matt MitrioneRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
W · Sub · R2
Sean McCorkleRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08

News & Media

Pat Barry · Christian Morecraft
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