METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 18 Women's Bantamweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2013
Ultimate Fighter 18 Women's Bantamweight Tournament
VS
97%
Pena
3%
Rakoczy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Julianna PenawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:59
def. Jessica Rakoczy · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pena
→
Actual result
Pena wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pena is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 63 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.
Risk flags
Pena's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenaRakoczy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pena
Rakoczy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"
Reach
37+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pena
Rakoczy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.6
2.1
58.0
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Pena
Rakoczy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.3
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
2
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch2
32Ground0
Pena
Rakoczy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pena
Rakoczy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
2/6 fights
Pena
Rakoczy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pena
Rakoczy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pena
Rakoczy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PenaRakoczy
Strike Zones
Pena
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedRakoczy
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pena targets the head (97% of attacks) — Rakoczy absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Rakoczy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pena
RND
Rakoczy
0/0R00/0
Pena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesDecision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesSubmission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannSubmission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
Rakoczy · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Valerie LetourneauDecision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Julianna PenaKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11